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AGGREGATE EXPENDITURE MODEL (KEYNESIAN MODEL (Planned Investment (Ip)…
AGGREGATE EXPENDITURE MODEL
KEYNESIAN MODEL
Consumption (C)
CONSUMPTION FUNCTION
autonomous consumption
consumption on
necessities*, as it is
independent
to
changes in disposable income**
induced consumption
discretionary consumption
. induced consumption
increases
as
disposable income increases
marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
extra consumption
undertaken as a result of
*receiving extra income
C=Y
shows all points where
consumption equals income
if consumption line is
above
45 degress,
consumption
expenditure is greater than income + household are dis-saving
if consumption line is
below
45 degrees,
consumption expenditure is less than income + households are saving
EQUILIBRIUM!!
the
household sector
is in
equilibrium
at
income level Y1
where the consumption function and the 45 degrees line
intersect
FORMULA: C = AUTONOMOUS CONSUMPTION (a) + INDUCED CONSUMPTION (bY)
b - marginal propensity to consume
Y - disposable income
FORMULA (SAVINGS FUNCTION): S = -a + (1-b)Y
FACTORS
disposable income
the
more sales after income*, the
higher the consumption spending**
interest rates
the
higher the rate of interest
, the
bigger the rewards for savings + the more expensive it becomes to finance consumption purchase
inflation
if consumer expects
price to increase
=
consumers will purchase instantly
wealth and debt
rise in share prices
/
house prices increase household wealth consumption expenditure may rise
higher level of debt
may lead
households to reduce consumption
expectation and consumer confidence
the
higher the level of consumer confidence and expectation
, the
higher the level of consumption
Planned Investment (Ip)
PLANNED INVESTMENT FUNCTION
WHY
INVESTMENT
IS MORE
VOLATILE
THAN
CONSUMPTION?
1) Investment is
riskier
and
unpredictable
2) much of
consumption
is
non-discretionary (spending on necessities)
3)
profits
are a
major determinant
on investment and are
highly variable
assume all investments are
autonomous
level of investment spending
does not vary
with
level of income
FACTORS
real interest rates
profitability
expectations and confidence
government policies
Government Spending (G)
GOVERNMENT SPENDING FUNCTION
FACTORS
shocks (natural disasters, war)
demographic (aging population)
health care cost
level of tax revenue
political stance
Net Exports (Export-Import)
MARGINAL PROPENSITY
marginal propensity to
consume
=
change in consumption/ change in income
marginal propensity to
save
=
change in savings / change in income
MULTIPLIER
LEAKAGES
SAVINGS, TAXATION AND IMPORTS
INJECTIONS
INVESTMENTS, GOVERNMENT SPENDING AND EXPORTS
Multiplier (k) = Final change in income (GDP) / Autonomous change in expenditure