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Do I know myself? (Predicting (Planning Fallacy (We suck at planning big…
Do I know myself?
Predicting
Planning Fallacy
We suck at planning big and complex projects
Ex. Opera house in Sydney
Above-Average Effect
We like looking at ourselves above average (affects our self-assessment)
Ex. Driving performance
Interview
We suck at predicting people too
Not the most accurate because of factors
Happiness
We don't really know what makes us happy or unhappy
Ex. Unfortunate situation, just as happy (=) Fortunate situation
Confirmation Bias
We find evidence to answer a question
Ex. Happy with social life? Finds evidence that you're happy with social life
Don't focus on bad part
Problem-Solving
DIFFUSE MODE